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Lab Automation & Research Tools · Recorded milestone

Scientific replication-market study published

Recorded year2015

A published study evaluates prediction-market forecasts against scientific replication outcomes.

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Built on

Randomised controlled trialRecorded · 1948influences
World Wide WebRecorded · 1991enables

Led to

AI peer reviewForecast · ~2028influences
Automatic replicationForecast · ~2031influences
Forecasting markets commission replication experimentsForecast · ~2033enables

Sources & evidence

Using prediction markets to estimate the reproducibility of scientific research 2015
A 2015 publication evaluated markets forecasting replication of 44 psychology studies. It does not demonstrate an autonomous market that finances experiments.

Dreber and colleagues

Record reviewed 2026-10-18