Personal Devices · Projected milestone

Superintelligence at home

Estimated year~2040

35% by 2050 · including earlier years

The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.

Personal superhuman assistants run on local hardware.

Explore this milestone on the interactive map

What the forecast means

Milestone stage: deployment

unknown

Superhuman multi-field assistance fits within the explicit local desktop power envelope.

Completion criteria: A purchasable system drawing no more than 2 kW runs the resolving multi-field research evaluations locally, with network isolation, power and hardware costs disclosed. Cloud access in a home terminal does not count.

This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.

Built on

EUV lithographyRecorded · 2019requires
Brain-scale neuromorphic computersForecast · ~2032influences
Live audits of AI mindsForecast · ~2032influences
Superhuman AI scientistsForecast · ~2032requires
Near-zero-energy computingForecast · ~2058influences

Led to

Superintelligence you wearForecast · ~2075enables

Sources & evidence

Siri AI and the next generation of Apple Intelligence 2026-09-14
Apple announces beta rollout of richer personal context and systemwide app actions, plus on-device models for some features and cloud models for others. This is not offline expert-level general AI or access to every app/service.
Key Questions on Energy and AI: Executive summary 2026-04-16
The IEA identifies power, grid connection, memory/chip supply and financing bottlenecks alongside rapid efficiency gains. Announced data-center capacity and actual operational demand are different quantities.

Record reviewed 2026-10-18