Personal Devices · Projected milestone
Globe holding an evolving world
80% by 2032 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
A glass globe on a shelf runs a tiny simulated world where weather, creatures and cultures evolve alone, and you can watch, nudge or visit.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: deployment
partially-demonstrated
Simulation, persistent state and interacting agents are available components; this integrated globe product is unconfirmed.
Completion criteria: Independent buyers can run the device for thirty days, with persistent evolving state, visible multi-agent interactions and user interventions; the display and computation may be distributed. No claim of exact Earth physics, sentient inhabitants or a whole universe is implied.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
Built on
Led to
No connections of this kind are recorded.
Sources & evidence
- Beyond VLAs: How world action models reshape robot manipulation 2026-08-04
NVIDIA describes video/world-model backbones and Cosmos 3 for robot action learning. This supports demonstrated world-model components, not a claim of universally accurate physics or reliable execution.
- Measurements for understanding the pace of AI development inside frontier labs 2026-09-17
Anthropic reports AI leading 26% of R&D in August, no fully autonomous measured R&D subset, and about 30,000 concurrent internal agents. It reports complete action-monitor coverage, which is not complete detection. The measurements use internal/model judgments.
Record reviewed 2026-10-18