Heating, Cooling & Refrigeration · Projected milestone

Cooling for all in hot regions

Estimated year~2045

39% by 2050 · including earlier years

The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.

Efficient, cheap cooling reaches nearly every home, school and clinic in the hottest regions, sharply cutting heat deaths.

What the forecast means

Milestone stage: milestone (legacy definition)

Completion criteria: Legacy milestone: refine the observable threshold before resolving.

This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.

No individual source links are recorded for this milestone. Source coverage and review status vary across the atlas.

Dataset updated 2026-10-18. This individual record has not been separately re-reviewed.