Lighting · Projected milestone

Grow lights for Mars greenhouses

Estimated year~2048

24% by 2053 · including earlier years

The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.

Buried Mars greenhouses grow crops under LEDs powered by reactors and solar, since the thin dusty sunlight is too weak and harsh.

What the forecast means

Milestone stage: milestone (legacy definition)

Completion criteria: Legacy milestone: refine the observable threshold before resolving.

This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.

No individual source links are recorded for this milestone. Source coverage and review status vary across the atlas.

Dataset updated 2026-10-18. This individual record has not been separately re-reviewed.