Neuroscience & Mental Health · Projected milestone
Whole-brain emulation
Estimated year~2085
8% by 2090 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
A human brain is simulated in enough detail to reproduce its behaviour.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: milestone (legacy definition)
Completion criteria: Legacy milestone: refine the observable threshold before resolving.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
Built on
Led to
- Emulated minds at workForecast · ~2086enables
- Safety rules for emulated mindsForecast · ~2087enables
- Bedside mind-backup vaultForecast · ~2089enables
- Tested theory of consciousnessForecast · ~2090enables
- Apps inside emulated mindsForecast · ~2092enables
- Courts for digital mindsForecast · ~2092enables
- Mind-state file standardForecast · ~2093enables
- Storage for whole mindsForecast · ~2094enables
- Gradual neuron replacementForecast · ~2095enables
- Inheritance law for emulated mindsForecast · ~2096enables
- Marketing to digital mindsForecast · ~2096enables
- Citizenship for digital mindsForecast · ~2098enables
- First mind-upload attemptForecast · ~2099enables
- Security for uploaded mindsForecast · ~2099enables
Sources & evidence
No individual source links are recorded for this milestone. Source coverage and review status vary across the atlas.
Dataset updated 2026-10-18. This individual record has not been separately re-reviewed.