Food Science & Cooking · Projected milestone
Cultivated meat at price parity
Estimated year~2040
15% by 2045 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
Cell-grown meat costs the same as conventional meat at supermarket scale.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: milestone (legacy definition)
Completion criteria: Legacy milestone: refine the observable threshold before resolving.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
Built on
Led to
- Grown steak with marblingForecast · ~2042enables
- Countertop meat growerForecast · ~2046enables
- Insect protein at scaleForecast · ~2053enables
- Food poisoning nearly endedForecast · ~2054enables
- Half of farmland returned to natureForecast · ~2070enables
- Ocean abundance restoredForecast · ~2070enables
- Cultured meat dominantForecast · ~2074enables
Sources & evidence
No individual source links are recorded for this milestone. Source coverage and review status vary across the atlas.
Dataset updated 2026-10-18. This individual record has not been separately re-reviewed.