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Food Science & Cooking · Projected milestone

Grown steak with marbling

Estimated year~2042

14% by 2047 · including earlier years

The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.

Whole cuts of cultivated beef with real muscle fibres and fat marbling, grown on edible scaffolds, are sold widely instead of only minced products.

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What the forecast means

Milestone stage: milestone (legacy definition)

Completion criteria: Legacy milestone: refine the observable threshold before resolving.

This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.

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Sources & evidence

No individual source links are recorded for this milestone. Source coverage and review status vary across the atlas.

Dataset updated 2026-10-18. This individual record has not been separately re-reviewed.